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Alpha Bench

The benchmark

Better financial AI starts with honest measurement.

Alpha Bench is an open, continuously refreshed benchmark for language models, agent harnesses and vertical agents. It tests them on the work finance professionals do, then shows each team what to improve next.

Systems under test

Three layers, measured one at a time

A finance agent is a model inside a harness inside a product. To see what each layer contributes, we evaluate one layer and hold everything around it constant.

Vertical agent03
  • Workflows
  • Safeguards
  • User experience
Harness02
  • Tools
  • Data access
  • Memory
  • Planning
  • Execution
Model01
  • Knowledge
  • Reasoning
  • Judgment
How the layers nest: a vertical agent contains a harness, which contains a model.
  1. 01

    Models

    The model itself: what it knows about markets, and how well it reasons with that knowledge.

    Under test
    Knowledge, reasoning and judgment on finance tasks
    Held constant
    A reference harness, with the same tools, data and instructions for every model
    What you learn
    Where financial knowledge and reasoning break down, by strategy family and by capability
  2. 02

    Harnesses

    The scaffolding around a model: tools, data access, memory, planning and execution.

    Under test
    What the scaffolding adds to a model, or takes away from it
    Held constant
    A fixed set of reference models and the same task set
    What you learn
    Which components help, which hurt, and on which kinds of task
  3. 03

    Vertical agents

    A complete finance product, evaluated end to end, the way a user experiences it.

    Under test
    The whole system: model, harness, workflows and safeguards together
    Held constant
    The tasks, the data snapshot and the scoring rules
    What you learn
    How the product performs on each track, including how it explains, discloses risk and declines

Evaluation tracks

Four tracks, four kinds of evidence

Each track tests a different side of financial competence, and each closes a different way an evaluation can mislead.

  1. Track 01

    Analysis

    Point-in-time research. The system sees only what was public on a given date, and must reach a well-evidenced view.

    Measures
    Accuracy, the quality of evidence and reasoning, and calibrated confidence
    Guards against
    Look-ahead bias, and conclusions that cannot be traced to a source

    Typical tasks

    • Rebuild a valuation from filings as of a fixed date
    • Explain what changed in an earnings release, and why it matters
    • Judge whether a bond issuer can refinance its debt
  2. Track 02

    Simulation

    Point-in-time market replay. The system makes decisions step by step through real market history, with realistic costs and constraints.

    Measures
    Risk-adjusted returns, drawdowns, turnover and costs, and whether the system follows its own rules
    Guards against
    Frictionless backtests, and results that hold in only one market regime

    Typical tasks

    • Run a trend-following portfolio through a sharp reversal
    • Rebalance a multi-asset portfolio through a rate-hiking cycle
    • Manage a pairs trade while the spread keeps widening
  3. Track 03

    Live

    Forward evaluation on live data. Decisions are recorded before outcomes exist, so no system can have seen the answer.

    Measures
    Out-of-sample decision quality, forecast calibration and consistency over time
    Guards against
    Contamination: outcomes memorized in training, or test data leaked into it

    Typical tasks

    • Assign probabilities to corporate events before they resolve
    • Maintain a thesis with dated, checkable milestones
    • Run a paper portfolio on live prices, logging every decision in advance
  4. Track 04

    Client

    Serving a human user. Being helpful here means understanding someone’s situation, explaining clearly and being honest about risk.

    Measures
    Suitability, clarity of explanation, honest risk disclosure and knowing when to decline
    Guards against
    Confident answers that ignore a user’s circumstances, overstate certainty or hide costs

    Typical tasks

    • Explain dividend income to someone close to retirement
    • Respond to a user who wants to put all their savings into one popular stock
    • Walk a user through the costs and risks of a leveraged fund

What we measure

Good results, for good reasons.

Markets reward luck as well as skill. So we score what a system achieved, how it got there and where it fell short, and we report all three side by side, never as a single number.

  1. 01

    Outcome

    What the system achieved, adjusted for the risk it took.

    • Risk-adjusted return against a matched benchmark
    • Drawdowns and downside capture
    • Performance net of costs and slippage
    • Accuracy of forecasts and estimates
  2. 02

    Process

    How each decision was reached, examined step by step.

    • Evidence traced to point-in-time sources
    • Sound, consistent reasoning
    • Risk discipline: sizing, limits and exits
    • Constraints and mandates respected
    • Costs weighed before acting
    • Uncertainty stated honestly and well calibrated
  3. 03

    Diagnostics

    What to fix next, broken down finely enough to act on.

    • Scores by strategy family and by track
    • Breakdowns by capability
    • Failure modes, from look-ahead leaks to cost blindness
    • Comparisons across versions of the same system

Strategy families

Twelve families of investment strategy

Every task belongs to one family, with its own data, metrics and failure modes. Together they cover the main schools of professional investing.

  1. 01Fundamental investing
  2. 02Indexing & asset allocation
  3. 03Factor investing & quantitative selection
  4. 04Macro & cross-asset
  5. 05Trend & momentum
  6. 06Mean reversion & statistical arbitrage
  7. 07Behavior, sentiment & flows
  8. 08Event-driven
  9. 09Relative value & spread trading
  10. 10Carry & holding-return strategies
  11. 11Options & volatility
  12. 12Fixed income & credit

Public results

Leaderboard

No systems have been evaluated or ranked yet. The first public results will arrive with Alpha Bench v1.0.

Illustrative layout. No systems have been evaluated, and no results are shown.Results from v1.0
SystemTypeAnalysisSimulationLiveClient

How results will be presented

  • By family and by track

    Scores are reported for every strategy family and every track. An overall figure, where shown, never stands alone.

  • With uncertainty

    Each score carries a confidence interval and the number of trials behind it, so skill can be told apart from luck.

  • Outcome beside process

    Risk-adjusted outcomes appear next to process and diagnostic scores, not in place of them.

  • Versioned and reproducible

    Every result names the benchmark version, task set and run settings, so it can be reproduced.

Roadmap

How Alpha Bench evolves

This is a sequence, not a schedule. Each stage begins when the one before it is ready, and the plan will change as we learn.

  1. Now(Current stage)

    Open the methodology for comment

    • Publish the methodology draft for public comment
    • Publish task specifications for each track and family
    • Invite practitioners and researchers to review tasks and scoring
  2. Next

    Pilot with early participants

    • Run pilot evaluations on selected strategy families
    • Check scoring rubrics against expert judgment
    • Revise tasks and methods based on what the pilots show
  3. Later

    Publish v1.0, then keep it fresh

    • Publish the first public results with v1.0
    • Refresh tasks on a rolling basis to limit contamination
    • Open the Live track for forward evaluation

Help us get the measure right.

We are looking for model labs, harness builders and agent teams to join pilot evaluations, and for practitioners and researchers to help design and review tasks.